Chance, MD Live Doppler Radar
Live radar for Chance, Somerset County: every NWS radar combined, rain, snow and ice colors, flash-flood risk, storm tracks and official warnings.
What weather hits Chance?
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged damaging thunderstorm winds on 46 days in the Somerset forecast zone and Somerset County — the most common reported hazard around Chance, mostly in July and June. Next come heavy snow & winter storms (38 days) and coastal flooding (22 days).
| Hazard | Days reported | Most recent | Worst on record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damaging thunderstorm winds | 46 | Jul 2025 | Aug 16, 2003 · $100,000 damage |
| Heavy snow & winter storms | 38 | Feb 2026 | Feb 19, 2025 · $1,000 damage |
| Coastal flooding | 22 | Oct 2025 | Oct 29, 2012 · $5.0 million damage |
| Hurricanes & tropical storms | 10 | Jul 2021 | Aug 27, 2011 · $1.1 million damage |
| Flash flooding | 7 | Jul 2025 | — |
| Flooding | 7 | Aug 2021 | Oct 9, 2016 · $500,000 damage |
| High winds | 5 | Oct 2018 | Sep 1, 2006 · $1.0 million damage |
| Excessive heat | 4 | Jun 2025 | — |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1996–2026 (the latest year is partial). A "day" is a date with at least one report in the Somerset forecast zone and Somerset County; damage is as reported, not adjusted for inflation.
Which radars cover Chance?
The closest NEXRAD Doppler radar is KDOX (Dover AFB, DE), about 52 miles north-northeast. Radar beams climb as they travel, so the height of the lowest scan over town decides how low in a storm the radar can see.
| Radar | Distance | Lowest beam over Chance | View |
|---|---|---|---|
| KDOX Dover AFB, DE | 52 mi north-northeast | 3,800 ft | Good — most storms and steady rain or snow show clearly |
| KLWX Sterling, MD | 100 mi northwest | 9,600 ft | Fair — the beam can pass over shallow snow and low-level rotation |
| KAKQ Wakefield, VA | 101 mi southwest | 9,800 ft | Fair — the beam can pass over shallow snow and low-level rotation |
Beam height is the center of the 0.5° scan above the radar, with standard refraction. Mountains near a radar can block it further.
Tornado & hail history near Chance
Since 1950, NOAA has recorded 21 tornadoes within 25 miles of Chance, 2 of them EF2/F2 or stronger. Most came in August and July. The strongest was an F3 on April 28, 2002, which passed about 13 miles north of town. The most recent was an EF1 on August 4, 2022, which touched down about 13 miles south-southwest of town.
Hail: 46 reports of 1-inch or larger hail within 25 miles since 1955, 2 of them 2 inches or more; the largest was 2.50-inch hail on April 28, 2002.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center — tornadoes 1950–2025, hail 1955–2025. Distances are to each tornado's track; ratings before February 2007 use the original Fujita scale.
On TALON you get Chance's live radar loop, rain/snow/ice colors, flash-flood risk, storm tracks with arrival times and NWS warnings free; close-up radar and rotation detection are part of TALON Pro.
Chance radar FAQ
Where is the nearest weather radar to Chance, MD?
KDOX (Dover AFB, DE), about 52 miles north-northeast. KLWX (Sterling, MD) is 100 miles away and also covers the area.
Does radar show snow in Chance?
Yes. TALON colors snow blue, a rain–snow mix pink and freezing rain purple using NOAA's precipitation-type analysis. Over Chance the lowest scan from KDOX is about 3,800 ft up.
Is TALON's radar for Chance free?
Yes — the US radar loop, rain/snow/ice colors, flash-flood risk, storm tracks and NWS warnings are free in any browser. Close-up radar, rotation detection and longer forecasts are part of TALON Pro.
Should I rely on radar for my safety?
No app replaces official warnings. When the National Weather Service issues a warning for Chance, follow it right away — see watch vs. warning.
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