Chance, OK Live Doppler Radar
Live radar for Chance, Adair County: every NWS radar combined, rain, snow and ice colors, flash-flood risk, storm tracks and official warnings.
What weather hits Chance?
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged damaging thunderstorm winds on 104 days in the Adair forecast zone and Adair County — the most common reported hazard around Chance, mostly in May and June. Next come flooding (41 days) and flash flooding (41 days).
| Hazard | Days reported | Most recent | Worst on record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damaging thunderstorm winds | 104 | Jun 2025 | Apr 11, 2001 · $100,000 damage |
| Flooding | 41 | Feb 2023 | Feb 21, 2018 · 1 death |
| Flash flooding | 41 | Aug 2024 | Nov 4, 2022 · 2 deaths |
| Heavy snow & winter storms | 33 | Jan 2026 | — |
| Excessive heat | 19 | Aug 2023 | — |
| Wildfires | 19 | Mar 2026 | Apr 7, 2023 · $100,000 damage |
| Ice storms & sleet | 6 | Dec 2013 | Jan 26, 2009 · $3.3 million damage |
| High winds | 6 | Apr 2014 | Jun 5, 2005 · $10,000 damage |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1996–2026 (the latest year is partial). A "day" is a date with at least one report in the Adair forecast zone and Adair County; damage is as reported, not adjusted for inflation.
Which radars cover Chance?
The closest NEXRAD Doppler radar is KINX (Tulsa, OK), about 52 miles west. Radar beams climb as they travel, so the height of the lowest scan over town decides how low in a storm the radar can see.
| Radar | Distance | Lowest beam over Chance | View |
|---|---|---|---|
| KINX Tulsa, OK | 52 mi west | 3,700 ft | Good — most storms and steady rain or snow show clearly |
| KSRX Fort Smith, AR | 56 mi south-southeast | 4,200 ft | Good — most storms and steady rain or snow show clearly |
| KSGF Springfield, MO | 106 mi northeast | 10,500 ft | Limited — the beam overshoots the lowest part of storms |
Beam height is the center of the 0.5° scan above the radar, with standard refraction. Mountains near a radar can block it further.
Tornado & hail history near Chance
Since 1950, NOAA has recorded 133 tornadoes within 25 miles of Chance, 35 of them EF2/F2 or stronger. Most came in May and April. The strongest was an EF3 on December 31, 2010, which passed about 7 miles southeast of town and caused 4 deaths. The most recent was an EF1 on June 18, 2025, which passed about 12 miles south-southwest of town.
Hail: 319 reports of 1-inch or larger hail within 25 miles since 1955, 26 of them 2 inches or more; the largest was 4.00-inch hail on March 12, 2006.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center — tornadoes 1950–2025, hail 1955–2025. Distances are to each tornado's track; ratings before February 2007 use the original Fujita scale.
On TALON you get Chance's live radar loop, rain/snow/ice colors, flash-flood risk, storm tracks with arrival times and NWS warnings free; close-up radar and rotation detection are part of TALON Pro.
Chance radar FAQ
Where is the nearest weather radar to Chance, OK?
KINX (Tulsa, OK), about 52 miles west. KSRX (Fort Smith, AR) is 56 miles away and also covers the area.
Does radar show snow in Chance?
Yes. TALON colors snow blue, a rain–snow mix pink and freezing rain purple using NOAA's precipitation-type analysis. Over Chance the lowest scan from KINX is about 3,700 ft up.
Is TALON's radar for Chance free?
Yes — the US radar loop, rain/snow/ice colors, flash-flood risk, storm tracks and NWS warnings are free in any browser. Close-up radar, rotation detection and longer forecasts are part of TALON Pro.
Should I rely on radar for my safety?
No app replaces official warnings. When the National Weather Service issues a warning for Chance, follow it right away — see watch vs. warning.
Radar for nearby towns
- Westville, OK radar 7 mi
- West Siloam Springs, OK radar 8 mi
- Stilwell, OK radar 17 mi
- Tahlequah, OK radar 21 mi
- Jay, OK radar 26 mi
- Locust Grove, OK radar 31 mi
- Salina, OK radar 32 mi
- Grove, OK radar 37 mi
- Chouteau, OK radar 40 mi
- Fort Gibson, OK radar 40 mi